ACERC presentation at the En.Trading 017 Seminar, by Dr Lorenc Gordani, 14th September 2017
Today, Acerc represented by Dr. Lorenc Gordani, took part at the En.Trading 017 Seminar, Tirana: “Keeping up with SEE power market development”, Hotel Rogner, Tirana, 14. September 2017. Activity organised by Montel and Energetika.NET, together with Nord Pool, focusing on the Southeast European (SEE) power markets in Tirana, Albania.
Partecipation that see the presentation, on the “Legal Assessment on the Electricity Generation Capacity Development in Albania”, bringing an synthetic overview, based in daily empirical experience on legal granting rights, about the investments in process and future projections development of the national electricity generation capacity.
The main bulled point, offered an answer, to the pressing today’s concerns, such are: “Following the today trends of investments and public policies, when it is predicted to be meet the internal demand in Albania”, “What kind of sources and quantity of offer has to be expected from the country in the upcoming 5, 10, 15 yeas”, etc. The above, fitted with the debate of the round table in following, giving a support of the strategic analyses about the main structure and potential of the trading and supply activities in Albania.
An overall above analyses, by Dr. Lorenc Gordani, there have been drawn three main assessments:
Due to the budget restriction and limit of expenditure, in accordance with IFI’s, there is not foreseen possible the enter of any public capital in energy sector (except moved by security reasons, such may be for the development together with Kosovo of the HPP Skavica and Zhur above 600 MW). The public policy that are thought to drew any choices guided by thinking with cost estimation (i.e. using a Levelised Cost of Electricity – LCOE) to get the less economic impact for the public budget and the burdens for each consumer in Albania.
Then, the most probable energy mix production of electricity in Albanian has to based mostly at the hydro-powers, some important part of photovoltaics and a few portion of natural gas. Notwithstanding, as in past the assistance of IFI’s will not be missed, the “fear” is that the private and public sector will not fully be able to get advantage of all its potential, but at contrary as experiences has shown often many time it risk to be taken only the complexity of institutional and organisational framework, with a lot of delays in the ongoing streamline of projects.
However, the experience create up to now, make possible some game of change, especially if there will be a particular care on the improve and simplified the investment climate, boost the performance of private sector providing support for pre-feasibity study combined with technical expertise and advisory to the promote the projects, as well as the increase of access to finance. Other ways, there is always the risk to follow with the business as usual (BAU), making that electricity capacity will reach a certain peak around 2020, and for all the rest of the period 2020-2030 the country will be constantly dependent by the imports even for limit amount of electricity.
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